Friday, November 1, 2024

Caitlin Clark and the Indiana Fever are dark-horse WNBA championship contenders

The wins proceed to roll in for Caitlin Clark and the Indiana Fever. The Fever could have began the WNBA season 1-8, however during the last 15 video games, they’re tied with the Lynx for the third greatest report within the league at 10-5.

As such, a staff that when gave the impression to be destined for the lottery now appears to be one of many extra formidable groups within the combine for a… WNBA championship.

It sounds loopy at first look. How may a staff that when appeared destined to be traditionally dangerous now be within the combine for a title?

For one, a a lot as Indiana struggled early on, the staff doesn’t lack expertise. Head coach Christy Sides routinely mentioned that there was hardly any time for apply at the start of the season, and it was clear this staff wanted it.

However, regardless of the way you slice it, the Fever boast three All Stars: Kelsey Mitchell, Caitlin Clark, and Aliyah Boston. At her greatest, Mitchell is likely one of the best guards within the league — out of guards who common at the least 17 factors per sport, Mitchell is one in all solely two who shoot above 45% (Kahleah Copper is the opposite). Boston was the unanimous Rookie of the Yr final yr, and amongst forwards averaging at the least 10 factors per sport, she has the highest area objective proportion at 52.7%.

In the meantime, Caitlin Clark is on tempo to have essentially the most assists by any WNBA participant ever in a single season, and over her final 10 video games, she’s the sixth main scorer within the league at 20.4 factors per sport. This trio is legit.

The Fever are most likely nonetheless just a few years away — however what in the event that they’re not?

At 13-15, the Fever have the Seventh-best report within the WNBA, so, because it presently stands, they’d face the Solar within the first spherical of the playoffs. They’re nonetheless a under .500 staff, and have a methods to go earlier than they’ll actually be thought of one of many main contenders, however one thing that appeared fully off the desk just some months in the past now seems to be inside attain.

Caitlin Clark is beginning to seem like Caitlin Clark, Kelsey Mitchell like one of many extra formidable scorers within the league, and Aliyah Boston like a submit participant who can cling with anybody. There’s one thing particular brewing.

All of that was on show on Sunday in opposition to the Mercury, when Clark put collectively one other robust efficiency and completed with 23 factors, 9 assists, and 5 rebounds. Kelsey Mitchell continued her offensive excellence with a 27-point outing, capturing 10-19 from the sector and 5-8 from three, whereas Lexie Hull had her greatest sport of the season off the bench, scoring 22 factors on 6-7 from three. That win got here on the heels of a win over the Storm — back-to-back victories in opposition to two middle-of-the-pack groups, however veteran groups slated for the playoffs, nonetheless.

Hull just isn’t at all times going to provide you 22 factors an evening, however she’s presently capturing 40.5% from three. There’s additionally NaLyssa Smith, who has averaged a close to double-double and served as a dependable starter.

The primary factor holding again Indiana proper now’s the protection, however even that’s on a constructive upswing. Over their final 10 video games, the Fever have the Seventh-best protection within the league — removed from elite, however a lot better than the place they had been early on, which was by far the worst protection within the WNBA. They’ve additionally grabbed the highest proportion of rebounds of any staff over their final 15 video games. Persevering with to enhance on the defensive finish will probably be key for Indiana in the event that they’re going to make an actual playoff push. Hull, as one of many higher level of assault defenders within the WNBA, could possibly be key on that finish of the ground because the Fever look to enhance.

Over their final 15 video games, the Fever have had the league’s second-best offense, second to the Liberty, which has far and away been the perfect staff within the league. They’ve additionally had the very best efficient area objective proportion. The craziest factor in regards to the Fever offense’s success is that Clark hasn’t actually discovered her three-point shot but — she’s presently capturing 32.8% from past the arc, nicely under her school common of 37.7%. When her capturing catches as much as her potential, it’s solely going so as to add one other dynamic to the Fever offense.

Liberty, Aces stay the favorites to win WNBA championship

Nonetheless, it’d be exhausting to argue that any staff outdoors of the Liberty is the favourite to win the WNBA championship. New York has been remarkably constant, they’ve been there earlier than, and at 23-4, they boast the perfect report within the league by a substantial quantity.

And, for those who had been going to make that argument, it’d most likely should be in favor of the Aces. At 17-9, they’ve been extra inconsistent this season than in years prior, however nonetheless the two-time defending champions, and have the plain greatest participant on the planet.

There’s additionally the Lynx, who’ve the league’s greatest protection, a slew of sharpshooters like Kayla McBride, and Napheesa Collier. The Solar have been close to the highest of the league all yr lengthy, and have a veteran group that has been there earlier than.

So, there’s loads of groups that could possibly be within the combine for that elusive WNBA title. These 4 — the Aces, Liberty, Lynx, and Solar — groups needs to be the betting favorites to win all of it. But when the items can proceed to return collectively for Indiana — and if the protection can step it up a notch — they may not be as distant because it appears.

The primary spherical of the WNBA playoffs is a best-of-three sequence. The Fever, with their dynamic offense and Caitlin Clark’s passing prowess, are higher geared up to upset a contender than most bottom-seeded groups. All it should take is 2 wins. Then, there are simply 4 groups left. A best-of-five-series creates much less room for an upset, but when Indiana can proceed trending in the precise course, it’s not fully off the desk.

The Fever have some good exams developing — on Saturday, they journey to Minnesota, the place they’ll face the perfect protection within the league. Subsequent week, they’ll search for their first win in opposition to the Solar (who they’re presently 0-3 in opposition to, however all three losses got here earlier within the season). In September, back-to-back dwelling video games in opposition to the Aces will give Indiana an opportunity to see how they stack up in opposition to the defending champions. These 4 video games, together with the opposite eight video games left on the schedule, will give us a clearer image of how totally different the August Fever are from the Could Fever. Proper now, we’re seeing indicators that these groups are very totally different.

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