We sit up for the Euro 2024 closing in Berlin with our Spain vs England prediction and preview.
Spain vs England Stats: The Key Insights
- The Opta supercomputer makes Spain the favourites to win the Euro 2024 closing. La Roja succeeded in 60.4% of simulations, successful inside 90 minutes 40.7% of the time.
- Spain have received all six of their matches at Euro 2024, already essentially the most ever at a single version of the competitors.
- England are unbeaten of their final six European Championship video games when conceding first (W5 D1).
Everybody who doubted the facility of the Opta supercomputer when it made England favourites to win Euro 2024 firstly of the match, get typing up your apologies.
Granted, the Three Lions had not performed effectively till, effectively, arguably Wednesday evening’s semi-final, they usually nonetheless have a closing to win, however the reality they’re there when so many doubted them is testomony to the job achieved by Gareth Southgate and his workforce of never-give-uppers.
They may face Spain in Sunday’s closing, who some additionally underestimated previous to Euro 2024. Luis de la Fuente’s aspect have actually impressed in Germany, although, successful all six of their matches, already essentially the most wins any aspect has earned in a single version of the UEFA European Championship.
La Roja overcame a tricky group of Italy, Croatia and Albania, earlier than getting previous Georgia, Germany and France to succeed in the ultimate.
After falling behind early on to France of their semi-final on Tuesday, Spain hit again with targets from Lamine Yamal and Dani Olmo to win 2-1 in Munich. Aged 17 years and sooner or later, Yamal may turn out to be the youngest participant to ever function in a World Cup or European Championship closing, breaking Pelé’s file from the 1958 World Cup (17y 249d).
Yamal’s gorgeous purpose towards France noticed him turn out to be the youngest participant to attain at a Euros, whereas he additionally has three assists on the match, with no Spaniard ever offering 4 at a single European Championship.
Spain will fancy their probabilities, having received their final three main match finals, successful the European Championship in 2008 and 2012, and the World Cup in 2010. No European aspect has ever been profitable in 4 consecutive World Cup/Euros closing matches earlier than.
They are going to be trying to find their fourth European Championship trophy, having received it in 1964, 2008 and 2012. Spain’s solely closing defeat within the competitors got here towards France in 1984. They may turn out to be the primary workforce to win the competitors on 4 separate events.
England have by no means received the competitors, with this solely their second Euros closing. Their earlier one was additionally the final one (Euro 2020), making it consecutive appearances within the showpiece occasion. They’ve now reached extra main match finals in 4 makes an attempt underneath Gareth Southgate (2) than they did of their first 23 appearances on the World Cup/Euros mixed (1) earlier than his arrival as supervisor.
This will even be England’s first main match closing performed on international soil, with the 1966 World Cup and Euro 2020 finals each performed at Wembley Stadium. The Three Lions have an excellent file in Berlin, having received 4 and drawn two of their six video games within the German capital.
England completed high of a bunch that featured Serbia, Denmark and Slovenia, earlier than getting previous Slovakia, Switzerland and the Netherlands to make the ultimate.
Ollie Watkins was the hero within the semi-finals, coming off the bench to attain a Ninetieth-minute winner towards the Dutch, who had taken an early lead by way of Xavi Simons earlier than Harry Kane equalised with a penalty as England ultimately secured a 2-1 victory.
Don’t be shocked if Spain take the lead within the closing. England have conceded the primary purpose in all three of their knockout video games at Euro 2024, whereas Spain have scored 13 targets – solely France in 1984 (14) have scored extra at a single version of the European Championship.
Nonetheless, England are unbeaten of their final six video games on the Euros when conceding first (W5 D1), with no aspect successful extra such video games within the competitors’s historical past.
England boss Southgate has are available in for some criticism through the match for his workforce’s perceived lack of ambition. They discover themselves in one other closing although, and Southgate can be solely the third supervisor to take cost of multiple European Championship closing (excl. replays), after Helmut Schön (1972, 1976) and Berti Vogts (1992, 1996), each with Germany, and with all three doing so in consecutive editions. No supervisor has ever misplaced two finals within the competitors earlier than, and the previous Middlesbrough supervisor can be hoping to not make historical past in that regard.
His reverse quantity, De la Fuente, can be 63 years and 23 days outdated on the day of the ultimate, the third-oldest supervisor to take cost of European Championship finalists after Luis Aragonés, additionally with Spain, in 2008 (69y 337d) and Otto Rehhagel with Greece in 2004 (65y 330d), each of whom received the trophy.
It ought to be an fascinating contest on the Olympiastadion. Will Spain return to the highest of the European recreation, or is soccer lastly ‘coming house’?
Spain vs England Head-to-Head
This would be the third assembly between Spain and England on the European Championship, with England successful 2-1 within the 1980 group stage, earlier than progressing 4-2 on penalties after a 0-0 draw within the 1996 quarter-final.
England have failed to attain in three of their 4 main match (World Cup/Euros) video games towards Spain, with the final two such matches each ending 0-0 (1982 World Cup, Euro 96).
Spain have solely misplaced 4 of their final 14 conferences with England in all competitions (W7 D3), having misplaced seven in a row towards the Three Lions earlier than this.
England received 3-2 the final time they confronted Spain, within the UEFA Nations League in October 2018. Raheem Sterling (2) and Marcus Rashford gave the guests a 3-0 half-time lead in Seville, earlier than Paco Alcácer and Sergio Ramos pulled targets again within the second for Spain.
England haven’t received consecutive conferences with La Roja since a run of seven between 1960 and 1980.
Spain vs England Prediction
The Opta supercomputer makes Spain the favourites to win the Euro 2024 closing, with De La Fuente’s aspect successful inside 90 minutes in 40.7% of its 10,000 pre-match simulations.
England win in regular time in 28.5% of sims, whereas the ultimate goes to extra-time within the remaining 30.8%.
Together with extra-time and penalties as potential strategies of victory, Spain win the ultimate in 60.4% of sims, whereas England carry the trophy within the different 39.6%.
Spain vs England Squads
Spain
Álex Remiro, David Raya, Unai Simón, Álex Grimaldo, Aymeric Laporte, Dani Carvajal, Dani Vivian, Jesús Navas, Marc Cucurella, Nacho, Robin Le Normand, Álex Baena, Fabián Ruiz, Fermín López, Martín Zubimendi, Mikel Merino, Pedri, Rodri, Álvaro Morata, Ayoze Pérez, Dani Olmo, Ferran Torres, Joselu, Lamine Yamal, Mikel Oyarzabal, Nico Williams.
Head coach: Luis de la Fuente
England
Aaron Ramsdale, Dean Henderson, Jordan Pickford, Ezri Konsa, Joe Gomez, John Stones, Kieran Trippier, Kyle Walker, Lewis Dunk, Luke Shaw, Marc Guéhi, Adam Wharton, Conor Gallagher, Declan Rice, Jude Bellingham, Kobbie Mainoo, Trent Alexander-Arnold, Anthony Gordon, Bukayo Saka, Cole Palmer, Eberechi Eze, Harry Kane, Ivan Toney, Jarrod Bowen, Ollie Watkins, Phil Foden.
Head coach: Gareth Southgate
Spain vs England Predicted Lineups
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