Thursday, October 31, 2024

Copa America Third-Place Play-Off Preview

After each suffered semi-final defeats on the Copa America, Canada and Uruguay should now face off for third place in North Carolina. Sit up for the tie with our Canada vs Uruguay prediction and preview.


Canada vs Uruguay Stats: The Key Insights

  • Uruguay are heavy favourites to take third place on the Copa America with the Opta supercomputer. It provides them a 70% likelihood of profitable inside 90 minutes.
  • Canada are aiming to grow to be the third Concacaf nation to complete third within the competitors after Mexico (1997, 1999 and 2007) and Honduras (2001). 
  • A victory would make this Uruguay’s joint-second finest Copa marketing campaign of the twenty first century, after they gained the title in 2011.

Jesse Marsch hopes Canada’s memorable Copa America debut modifications the trajectory of soccer within the nation, as they appear to cap their marketing campaign with a bronze medal in opposition to Uruguay.

Canada’s first look on the event noticed them attain the semi-finals, a memorable penalty shoot-out victory over Venezuela teeing up a gathering with Argentina.

Marsch’s staff gave a strong account of themselves in opposition to the holders however had been crushed 2-0 with Julián Álvarez and Lionel Messi on course, sending Canada into Saturday’s third-place play-off.

Marsch, who was solely appointed a number of weeks earlier than the event started, hopes their marketing campaign might be a catalyst for additional enchancment forward of a house World Cup in 2026.

“We wish to encourage the nation,” Marsch stated the day after Canada’s semi-final defeat. “We wish to develop the game on this nation.

“We would like individuals to recollect this as a second in time that modified the trajectory of what this sport is in Canada.

“We’re establishing issues at some excessive ranges. However so as to be an actual staff that may maintain as much as the largest moments and largest matches, there’s extra work to be finished.

“Bodily, mentally, intellectually, we’ve obtained to discover a strategy to develop gamers quicker.”

Marsch added he’ll make modifications to his lineup in North Carolina, with Alphonso Davies a doubt after he suffered an harm to his left foot.

Canada are aiming to grow to be the third Concacaf nation to complete third within the competitors after Mexico (1997, 1999 and 2007) and Honduras (2001). 

A victory would make this the second-best marketing campaign by a non-CONMEBOL Copa America debutant nation, after Mexico took silver on their 1993 bow. Nonetheless, Marsch’s males are huge outsiders.

Marsch will come up in opposition to his Leeds United predecessor Marcelo Bielsa on Saturday, after his much-fancied Uruguay aspect had been crushed 1-0 by 10-man Colombia in their very own semi-final.

Daniel Muñoz was despatched off on the stroke of half-time after Jefferson Lerma had headed Colombia into the lead, however Uruguay had been outshot seven to 6 whereas a person up regardless of having fun with 73% of the possession.

Bielsa believes La Celeste would have been higher off in opposition to a full complement, saying: “Once they have 11, Colombia are a staff that performs to play, and so are we. 

“In that context, we created scoring possibilities and those we conceded had been generated by some concessions from us. 

“Eleven in opposition to eleven, for us, it was simpler to assault, and we needed to defend. Within the second half, taking part in with an additional man, it was far more troublesome to assault, and we virtually didn’t must defend.”

Uruguay’s defeat was marred by scenes of crowd violence involving the households of some Celeste gamers at full-time, prompting CONMEBOL to open an investigation.

Uruguay have participated within the third-place play-off on the Copa America on three earlier events, beating Colombia 2-1 in 2004, drawing 2-2 with Honduras in 2001 (then shedding on penalties) and struggling a 3-1 defeat to Mexico in 2007.

A victory in North Carolina would make this Uruguay’s joint-second finest Copa marketing campaign of the twenty first century, after they gained the title in 2011.

They’ve solely misplaced 4 of their 15 Copa America matches in opposition to Concacaf opponents, although they’re winless of their final three such video games within the knockout rounds.

Gamers to Watch

Canada – Jonathan David

Canada had 25 touches in Argentina’s penalty space of their semi-final loss, 12 greater than the world champions, but they solely managed 5 pictures from contained in the field to their opponents’ seven.

If they’re to cap a historic marketing campaign with a medal, they might want David to make a few of these openings depend.

The Lille ahead has underperformed his anticipated targets figures at this event, netting as soon as from possibilities valued at 1.58 xG. No Canada participant has tried greater than his seven pictures, three of which have hit the goal.

Uruguay – Darwin Núñez

Núñez has tried extra pictures (20) than another participant at this version of the Copa America, together with his complete of two.59 xG solely bettered by Argentina’s Lautaro Martínez (2.91).

Whereas the Liverpool man has two targets to his title, they each got here within the group stage, and he has solely hit the goal with 5 of his 20 makes an attempt.

Amongst all gamers to internet at this yr’s event, solely three have a worse shot accuracy than Núñez’s 33% (excluding blocks), however a worthwhile sport right here might even put him again within the race for the Golden Boot.

Canada vs Uruguay Prediction

Canada v Uruguay Opta prediction

The Opta supercomputer appears pretty sure that Uruguay will win this one, with Bielsa’s males doing so inside 90 minutes in a whopping 70% of simulations.

Canada safe a victory in regular time in 13.2% of sims, whereas the sport went to penalties within the remaining 16.8%.

Canada vs Uruguay Squads

Canada

Dayne St. Clair, Maxime Crépeau, Tom McGill, Alistair Johnston, Alphonso Davies, Derek Cornelius, Joel Waterman, Kamal Miller, Kyle Hiebert, Luc De Fougerolles, Moïse Bombito, Richie Laryea, Ali Ahmed, Ismaël Koné, Jonathan Osorio, Mathieu Choinière, Samuel Piette, Stephen Eustaquio, Cyle Larin, Jacen Russell-Rowe, Jacob Shaffelburg, Jonathan David, Liam Millar, Tajon Buchanan, Tani Oluwaseyi, Theo Bair. 

Head coach: Jesse Marsch 

Uruguay

Franco Israel, Santiago Mele, Sergio Rochet, Guillermo Varela, José Giménez, Lucas Olaza, Mathías Olivera, Matías Viña, Nicolás Marichal, Ronald Araujo, Sebastián Cáceres, Brian Rodríguez, Emiliano Martínez, Facundo Pellistri, Federico Valverde, Giorgian de Arrascaeta, Manuel Ugarte, Maximiliano Araújo, Nahitan Nández, Nicolás de la Cruz, Rodrigo Bentancur, Agustín Canobbio, Brian Ocampo, Cristian Olivera, Darwin Núñez, Luis Suárez.

Head coach: Marcelo Bielsa


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