NBA all-21-and-under mock draft: Victor Wembanyama, Paolo Banchero high the listing

The NBA is in an amazing place. Residing legends like Stephen Curry, Kevin Durant and LeBron James are nonetheless elite. Younger veterans like Jayson Tatum and Nikola Jokić are champions. Up-and-comers like Anthony Edwards and Tyrese Haliburton have arrived. Then there’s the brand new, new blood — rising stars like Victor Wembanyama, Paolo Banchero and Brandon Miller, who headline a crop of 21-and-under gamers with nice variance so far as potential.

Let’s concentrate on the final group. As gamers between the ages of twenty-two and 25 begin to discover themselves within the NBA, it’s this 21-and-under batch who carry some uncertainty. Wembanyama might be a top-five participant within the league as quickly as this coming season. After him and some others, although, the ceiling of this explicit crop of prospects turns into much more unknown.

So, to place all of it into perspective, The Athletic performed an NBA all-21-and-under draft to try to discover out who is likely to be breakout stars 4 or 5 years from now. The premise was easy: Any participant who was 21 or youthful on the finish of this previous season was eligible to be chosen. Gamers drafted in June have been eligible, as nicely. As a result of he’s not but within the NBA, Duke’s Cooper Flagg wasn’t eligible to be chosen, though he’d go top-five on this train. The objective was to create the very best crew potential to probably win a championship 5 years from now, in 2029. The Athletic’s James L. Edwards III, Kelly Iko and Will Guillory every picked a crew of eight gamers.

You possibly can see the draft decisions, the reasoning behind every choice and their ideas on the up-and-coming expertise beneath.

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1. Victor Wembanyama, San Antonio Spurs (Edwards): I thought-about going with Emoni Bates right here, however Wembanyama must do, I suppose. In all seriousness, if we did a draft that factored in 26-and-under gamers, I feel Wembanayama nonetheless would possibly go No. 1. He wasn’t good this previous season as a rookie, however the entire hype was actual. Gamers feared him when attacking the rim. The varied ability set on offense popped. Wembanyama will probably be a top-10 participant within the NBA subsequent season. I’m calling it now.

GO DEEPER

Victor Wembanyama lives as much as rookie hype. The scary half? It is simply Chapter 1

2. Paolo Banchero, Orlando Magic (Guillory): I needed to double-check this one to verify, however Banchero by some means doesn’t flip 22 till November. He’s already received two seasons below his belt after averaging 20-plus factors per recreation, and he was the very best participant on a Magic crew that received 47 video games final season earlier than pushing the Cleveland Cavaliers to seven video games within the first spherical of the playoffs. Whereas Banchero’s effectivity as a scorer might be up-and-down at instances, he’s confirmed to be one of many higher offensive weapons within the league amongst gamers who have been born earlier than 50 Cent launched “Get Wealthy or Die Tryin’.” I feel Banchero’s the clear No. 2 alternative on this draft behind Wemby.

3. Alperen Şengün, Houston Rockets (Iko): Şengün established himself as the very best participant on the Rockets final season and is flirting laborious with stardom. I’m certain people are bored with the Nikola Jokić comparisons, however Sengun is actually an offensive hub with an old-school, back-to-the-basket mix of footwork and publish play that may provoke motion from wherever within the half court docket. Simply encompass him with cutters, flooring spacers and general high-IQ gamers and let the Turkish wizard prepare dinner.

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4. Brandon Miller, Charlotte Hornets (Iko): I’m constructing my crew like I’d on NBA 2K, and I want an athletic, three-level wing scorer who can play off of Şengün. Enter Miller, who by all accounts is a greater defender than the general public offers him credit score for, all whereas being a bona fide shooter and multifaceted offensive weapon. The Hornets have been caught in impartial for just a few seasons, however with a brand new regime in place, there’s no purpose why the 6-foot-9 phenom shouldn’t be an enormous a part of that turnaround mission.

5. Dereck Full of life II, Dallas Mavericks (Guillory): For the document, Cooper Flagg would’ve completely been my decide right here if he have been eligible for this train. Nevertheless, touchdown Full of life is a reasonably first rate comfort prize. The 7-foot-1, 230-pound middle performed a vital function on a Mavericks squad that received the Western Convention final season, and he doesn’t flip 21 till February. He’s received such nice size and athleticism on the place, and he’s already change into a unbelievable complement to Luka Dončić on the offensive finish as a lob risk and a passer on the brief roll. This previous draft, groups have been talking brazenly about their need to seek out the following Full of life.

6. GG Jackson II, Memphis Grizzlies (Edwards): The league is all the time searching for 6-foot-9 wings who’ve potential three-level scoring, and I assumed Jackson actually popped as a rookie in an unfavorable state of affairs final season in Memphis. Jackson was close to the highest of each crew’s scouting report and nonetheless put up strong numbers for a young person. He doesn’t flip 20 till December, so I’ve time on my aspect right here.

Memphis’ GG Jackson II dunks over Cleveland’s Jarrett Allen. (Ken Blaze / USA As we speak)

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7. Jabari Smith Jr., Houston Rockets (Edwards): It sort of feels like individuals are a bit decrease on Smith these days, however I’m not. His offensive effectivity throughout the board was higher final season, and he even grabbed 8.1 rebounds per recreation. I additionally like that he has been accessible by his first two seasons, taking part in in 76 video games or extra in every. He’s going to have the ability to shoot it at a really excessive degree from 3 sooner slightly than later, I consider, and I feel his protection will proceed to enhance with time.

8. Jonathan Kuminga, Golden State Warriors (Guillory): Kuminga’s decision-making on each ends of the court docket might be maddening at instances. It was a giant purpose why Warriors coach Steve Kerr was so reluctant to lean into him because the Warriors’ second-best offensive possibility final season. However there’s no denying how harmful Kuminga might be when he’s taking part in decisively and downhill. As soon as his jumper turns into a little bit extra dependable, he’s going to be extraordinarily troublesome for opposing defenses to deal with.

9. Amen Thompson, Houston Rockets (Iko): I get the spacing considerations, I actually do. I additionally watched how Thompson discovered his area of interest as a rookie regardless of his taking pictures woes, utilizing his versatility and athleticism to defend a number of positions (ninety fifth percentile, per Estimated Plus-Minus), put downhill strain on defenders and play with out the ball. Late within the season, Thompson was unlocked within the dunker’s spot, a testomony to his positionless strategy that lends nicely to the trendy recreation.

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10. Cam Whitmore, Houston Rockets (Iko): If we’re speaking upside, it’s laborious to look previous Whitmore and never be optimistic. Don’t get me mistaken, it took the rookie a while to regulate to life below head coach Ime Udoka, a interval that included a stint within the G League. And he’s nonetheless creating his live-game processor, decision-making and dedication to protection. However, man, this child can actually go. How on Earth 18 groups handed on him on draft evening nonetheless confuses me to this present day. Jalen Hood-Schifino? Actually?

11. Scoot Henderson, Portland Path Blazers (Guillory): It’s been wild to see how many individuals have jumped off the Scoot Henderson bandwagon over the previous calendar 12 months. On this draft alone, we’ve already taken 5 gamers forward of him from the 2023 NBA Draft. I’ll purchase low on a man whom many scouts have been in love with this time final summer time. Because it seems, taking part in level guard within the NBA at 19 is fairly troublesome. I’m anticipating Henderson to indicate some vital development in 12 months 2 below Chauncey Billups’ tutelage.

12. Ausar Thompson, Detroit Pistons (Edwards): As somebody who watched each second of Thompson’s rookie season up shut and private, I simply haven’t seen too many gamers that younger with the defensive instincts that he has. Athletically, Thompson floats and maneuvers like only a few gamers I’ve seen, too. His soar shot is a large work in progress and the deal with must be tightened to unlock his playmaking potential, but when a kind of two issues will get mounted, Thompson’s ceiling rises a number of flooring.

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13. Stephon Fort, San Antonio Spurs (Edwards): This is likely to be the primary attain of the draft, however Fort was my favourite participant on this 12 months’s class. He’s going to be a plus-level defender as quickly as he performs his first official recreation, and I feel the offense goes to be higher than some anticipate. I’m not as involved concerning the soar shot as a lot as others are as a result of I don’t suppose it’s too funky and, from all accounts, Fort is a tough employee. Signal me up for any plus defender who has good playmaking chops and has a workable soar shot. These guys are inclined to make a reasonably good dwelling.

GO DEEPER

Stephon Fort and Victor Wembanyama’s connection might decide Spurs’ future

14. Josh Giddey, Chicago Bulls (Guillory): One other buy-low candidate right here for me. As a lot as we picked Giddey’s recreation aside in final 12 months’s playoffs, he nonetheless performed an essential function on an Oklahoma Metropolis crew that had a legit shot to win the title. Regardless that he wasn’t a match for that roster, Giddey nonetheless has quite a bit to supply as a degree guard with nice dimension and wonderful passing imaginative and prescient.

15. Brandin Podziemski, Golden State Warriors (Iko): The extra I watch Podz, the extra I perceive why the Warriors have rebuffed approaches — most lately from the Utah Jazz — for the 21-year-old guard. He’s already a savvy playmaker who takes care of the basketball (a standard plight for younger gamers) and is a legit shooter and plus-rebounder at his place. Podziemski’s growth was arguably the very best factor to emerge from an odd Warriors season and as such, he’s on my crew.

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16. Matas Buzelis, Chicago Bulls (Iko): I nonetheless can’t consider Charlotte handed on him two months in the past. I’ve all the time been a sucker for the prolonged, versatile, GG Jackson II varieties and Buzelis, a participant I used to be extraordinarily excessive on in the course of the pre-draft course of, is just going to get higher. He was one of many summer-league standouts in a reasonably underwhelming class; Buzelis confirmed flashes that ought to have area to develop within the wake of DeMar DeRozan’s departure. He’s a Hyundai with the boldness of a Tesla Cybertruck. Bulls followers ought to be hype.

17. Jeremy Sochan, San Antonio Spurs (Guillory): Whereas Sochan isn’t essentially the most thrilling participant to observe, he’s a glue man who does all of the little issues that make a crew higher. San Antonio’s failed experiment to show him into a degree guard made some followers bitter on his recreation final 12 months. I don’t fault him for that a lot. As soon as the Spurs begin taking part in in significant video games, Sochan will be capable of present a little bit little bit of all the things on the court docket and he’s received an opportunity to be a very good perimeter defender with dimension. These guys are invaluable within the postseason.

18. Jalen Duren, Detroit Pistons (Edwards): Duren received’t flip 21 till November, so the upside remains to be there. He’s already a very good rebounder, vertical lob risk and has good playmaking chops for a middle. The protection is what separates him and somebody like Full of life right here. Duren has to make actual progress on that finish to achieve his potential as a participant.

Jalen Duren rebounds the ball at Little Caesars Enviornment. (Rick Osentoski / USA As we speak)

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19. Cason Wallace, Oklahoma Metropolis Thunder (Edwards): I’ll take the rookie who performed vital minutes on the very best regular-season crew within the Western Convention. He’s point-of-attack defender who was an environment friendly scorer on low quantity this previous season. Wallace seems like a participant who will all the time influence profitable. I’ll all the time go to bat for these varieties.

20. Shaedon Sharpe, Portland Path Blazers (Guillory): Sharpe’s second season as a professional received off to a promising begin, however he solely managed to play 32 video games earlier than present process stomach surgical procedure in January. By way of the primary 22 video games of final season, Sharpe was averaging 18.8 factors whereas taking pictures 36.5 p.c on 3-pointers (6.2 makes an attempt). I is likely to be certainly one of perhaps 4 folks on this planet who’re excited to see what the Portland backcourt can do subsequent season. I feel Scoot and Sharpe have the potential to be an thrilling combo.

21. Dyson Daniels, Atlanta Hawks (Iko): At this juncture, the expertise pool is basically dried up, however I’m going to take a swing on a mission. Daniels is making his presence felt on the Olympics for the Australian nationwide crew, and there’s no purpose why he can’t be an impactful two-way participant within the NBA sooner or later. Daniels was by no means going to get an actual alternative in New Orleans, however I feel the commerce to Atlanta will jumpstart his younger profession. Signal me up for the 6-8 ballhandler who desires to select defenders up full-court. I’m a fan.

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22. Reed Sheppard, Houston Rockets (Iko): If Sheppard will get sufficient minutes, he’s my darkish horse for Rookie of the 12 months. Summer time league is miles away from the NBA degree, however even at that, Sheppard confirmed why groups have been so excessive on him. He appears below management with the ball in his arms, and each shot simply feels prefer it’s getting in. Defensively, he’s going to study correct positioning inside a crew scheme, however his instincts will turn out to be useful on a routine event.

GO DEEPER

In summer-league debut, Reed Sheppard flashes traits that made him a top-5 decide

23. Zach Edey, Memphis Grizzlies (Guillory): Edey is the No. 1 man on my listing of gamers from the 2024 draft who I feel we’re going to finish up wanting again and saying, “How did that man not go top-five?” He’s going to be one of the huge gamers we’ve ever seen within the NBA, and he’s going to be a unbelievable slot in Memphis subsequent to Ja Morant and Jaren Jackson Jr. I additionally suppose individuals are sleeping on how a lot Edey’s physique has improved over time. He was in unbelievable form throughout summer time league, and he’s not practically as sluggish and motionless as some folks wish to painting him.

GO DEEPER

Zach Edey is already exhibiting doubters what he can do within the NBA

24. Zaccharie Risacher, Atlanta Hawks (Edwards): The truth that the No. 1 decide within the 2024 NBA Draft barely cracked our high 25 of 21-and-under gamers says quite a bit about how down and unpredictable this explicit class tasks to be. With that stated, it’s laborious for me to go on a giant wing with a pleasant taking pictures stroke who is just 19.

Do you just like the crew you drafted?

Edwards: I do. On the finish of the day, the objective of this train was to acknowledge the 21-and-under expertise whereas placing collectively a crew that would win a title 5 years from now. My crew has nice dimension, protection and positional versatility. The taking pictures on my roster is OK. I’m actually banking on growth in key areas. Total, given the expertise pool we have been allowed to select from, I like what I did.

Going into this train, I assumed there could be extra gamers on this age group whom I used to be larger on. As soon as we received to round decide No. 12, my perception in these guys turning into reputable stars dwindled considerably.

Was that the identical for both of you?

Guillory: I don’t suppose I’ve a single man on my crew whom I’d belief to hit a 3-pointer in a giant recreation, however I really like the dimensions and athleticism we’ve throughout the board. I really like Banchero and Kuminga as my high two scorers, and each time these guys miss, Full of life and Edey will probably be able to crush the offensive glass.

I’ve to agree that the choices have been fairly skinny as soon as we received previous the third spherical. I used to be actually shocked to see guys like Jackson and Thompson go as excessive as they did.

One different commentary after going by this listing of gamers: I used to be pretty stunned to see what number of good, younger middle prospects I needed to contemplate every time I used to be as much as decide.

Wembanyama, Şengün, Full of life, Duren and Edey have been among the many 24 gamers we picked. I additionally put actual consideration into taking Portland rookie Donovan Clingan and Miami rookie Kel’el Ware late within the latter components of the draft. You might additionally throw Jabari Smith Jr. within the combine since he performed a lot middle for Houston late final season. It’s clear what number of groups are prioritizing getting younger (and low cost) at that place.

Iko: My crew is unquestionably going to be twenty third in defensive effectivity, but when we’re speaking about it from an NBA League Go standpoint, it’s fairly near must-watch tv.

On a extra severe be aware, I feel my roster mix is intriguing. I like the mixture of Miller and Whitmore as my wing scorers with Amen Thompson and Podziemski offering the backcourt playmaking, all whereas Şengün pulls the strings. The restriction to gamers 21-and-younger compelled me to go for athleticism and flexibility over conventional dimension, however I feel the Buzelis and Sheppard picks on the again finish of the draft actually pan out within the close to future.

It’s a troublesome train understanding that there are gamers you hope to get in one other spherical, however you additionally perceive that the depth isn’t nice so there will probably be reaches and questionable picks. Total, strong draft.

Which gamers will we remorse not choosing?

Edwards: It’s in all probability Alexandre Sarr for me. He was not good at summer time league and I wasn’t a giant fan going into the 2024 NBA Draft. Nevertheless, I wouldn’t be stunned if we seemed up in three years and noticed the 7-footer with a large wingspan flattening 3s at clip, creating his personal shot off the dribble often, blocking all the things on the rim and switching onto smaller guards on the perimeter. I don’t consider that would be the case, however clearly just a few NBA groups suppose he can get there.

Guillory: I selected Edey for my closing decide, however I undoubtedly went into this hoping I might discover a approach to decide Ware sooner or later. I used to be extraordinarily impressed watching him carry out throughout summer time league. He’s received unbelievable contact across the basket. He’s rim protector. He strikes very well within the open flooring. He’s already comfy taking pictures 3-pointers. So long as he stays wholesome, there’s little doubt in my thoughts he’s going to be professional.

Iko: If I had the prospect of redoing the draft, I’d have added one other large man — Edey is an effective shout — however I’m going to remorse passing on Duren. He’s a double-double machine, however I feel his rim safety and general defensive effectivity ought to be actualized below new Pistons head coach J.B. Bickerstaff. Duren is a cellular large with a mushy contact who is also a strong vertical spacer and, like his colleagues on this train, younger sufficient to warrant severe consideration.

Which crew, other than yours, do you want essentially the most?

Edwards: I’ll go together with Kelly’s crew solely as a result of he has extra gamers who mission to be good-to-great shooters. There’s a actual world the place nobody on Will’s roster is at the very least an above-average risk from 3-point distance. Sorry, Will. I do suppose your crew could be extra enjoyable to really watch play, although, as a result of I do not know what the identification could be. You additionally received the unfortunate draw of going second.

Guillory: I feel the straightforward reply is James’ crew as a result of he has Wemby and Kelly doesn’t. I additionally suppose a crew with Ausar Thompson, Smith, Wallace and Fort would get into at the very least two altercations each recreation. Additionally, taking Jackson at No. 6 was in all probability a attain, however I’ll admit that I’m fairly jealous he’s not on my crew. I really like his upside.

Iko: James’ crew is enjoyable. Like my esteemed brothers on this panel, I too love Jackson’s upside, and pairing that with Wembanyama is unfair. Smith and Fort additionally mesh properly with that core. But when we’re conserving it a stack, I’m solely right here so I don’t get fined. Each of their groups stink.

(Photograph of Victor Wembanyama and Paolo Banchero: Daniel Dunn / USA TODAY Sports activities)