Thursday, October 31, 2024

Premier League Match Predictions | Opta Analyst

With the assistance of our AI-powered Opta supercomputer, we offer our Premier League match predictions for each match in every gameweek.


The Opta supercomputer will probably be with us each step of the best way this season because the projection mannequin works to offer you data-backed predictions for all Premier League matches and season outcomes.

After all, Manchester Metropolis will take some beating in the case of the title race, as Pep Guardiola’s males are chasing a record-extending fifth consecutive top-flight title and overwhelming favourites to attain that success.

Arsenal are hoping to push Man Metropolis all the best way, and whereas Liverpool not have Jürgen Klopp on the helm, Arne Slot is now guiding a squad that’s similar to the one which threatened to be an actual challenger till the ultimate weeks of 2023-24.

And little doubt we’re in retailer for one more extremely competitors UEFA Champions League qualification battle involving the likes of Aston villa, Tottenham, Chelsea, Newcastle United and Manchester United.

On the different finish of the desk, Leicester Metropolis, Ipswich City and Southampton are hoping to fare higher than the earlier groups to be promoted from the Championship – all three had been relegated in 2023-24.

Now, all of that could be a little far sooner or later to be given a lot consideration but, however our AI-powered Opta supercomputer proved somewhat prescient in 2023-24 and is constant to make predictions for each fixture this season.

Learn on as Opta Analyst offers its Premier League match predictions for 2024-25, and remember to verify again right here forward of each matchday for the most recent projections.

Matchday 2

The Opta supercomputer has delivered its newest number of match predictions forward of the following weekend of Premier League soccer in 2024-25.

Our predictive mannequin has made its picks for the upcoming spherical of matches because the early a part of the season sees the league desk start to take form, with no main upsets happening up to now.

After a robust season of match predictions total final yr, supporters are more likely to be wanting on the 2024-25 picks much more forensically.

And the mannequin additionally loved a robust spherical with its picks within the opening matchweek, accurately calling victories for Manchester Metropolis, Arsenal, Liverpool, Newcastle United and Manchester United, which had been its 5 highest-conviction picks.

Following a bumper opening spherical, Matchday 2 will see matches unfold throughout solely Saturday and Sunday.

The sport of the week will see Aston Villa tackle Arsenal at Villa Park after either side acquired off to a profitable begin.

Earlier on Saturday, Brighton will host Man Utd whereas a brutal top-flight introduction for Ipswich City continues with their journey to play champions Man Metropolis.

Then, three fixtures on Sunday embody Liverpool internet hosting Brentford as Arne Slot seems to be to make it two wins from as many matches.

Forward of what seems to be set to be an entertaining group of Premier League fixtures, let’s take a look at the Opta supercomputer’s match predictions.

Premier League Predictions Matchweek 2: The Fast Hits

  • Arsenal are backed to defeat Aston Villa in an intriguing battle at Villa Park between two of final season’s prime 4.
  • The Opta supercomputer likes the probabilities of Southampton getting off the mark, however Ipswich’s hopes of an upset at Man Metropolis are miniscule, with a defeat being the mannequin’s most assured choose of MD2.
  • A troublesome begin for West Ham may very well be set to proceed when the Hammers play at Crystal Palace, whereas Brighton v Man Utd is rated as too near name.

FA Cup winners Manchester United acquired off to a profitable begin on MD1 courtesy of a late aim by new signing Joshua Zirkzee, however Brighton had been much more convincing of their opening weekend win, cruising to a 3-0 victory at Everton. That outcome represented a superb begin for brand spanking new boss Fabian Hürzeler, who now performs at dwelling for the primary time on this week’s Saturday early fixture.

This fixture passed off not too long ago, on the final day of 2023-24, when Man Utd earned a victory to finish a four-match dropping streak in opposition to Brighton. Curiously, not one of the 14 Premier League conferences between Brighton and Man Utd have been drawn, however the Opta prediction mannequin thinks there’s a respectable likelihood of that run ending right here, because it struggles to separate the 2 sides and charges the fixture as too near name.

Brighton have a win likelihood of 39.4%, with United very related at 36.0%. The draw is at 24.6%, so the primary match of the weekend may very well be a detailed one, with all three outcomes sensible potentialities.

Premier League Match Predictions MD2

Crystal Palace and West Ham are each in search of their first factors of the season as they do battle in a London derby at Selhurst Park. The information confirmed West Ham could have been unlucky to not get extra out of their opener in opposition to Aston Villa – their anticipated targets complete of two.5 was the second highest throughout the 20 groups final week, and an enormous enchancment on their common of 1.4 xG per sport final season. Solely Liverpool recorded the next mark.

However no crew has misplaced each of their opening two video games in a single marketing campaign extra typically than the Hammers, who’ve suffered that destiny eight instances, and the Opta supercomputer is giving the sting to Palace, regardless of their opening loss to Brentford. Palace have a 44.6% likelihood of recording a house victory, with West Ham at 30.0% and the draw a good candidate at 25.4%.

Fulham got here shut to some extent at Previous Trafford, whereas opponents Leicester Metropolis did handle to seize a draw from their opener in opposition to Tottenham. Enjoying again at Craven Cottage, Fulham are nicely fancied by our mannequin to get their season up and operating with a victory right here, with their likelihood at 51.5% in comparison with 24.1% for promoted Leicester.

Marco Silva’s males gained each EPL conferences when the final sides met in 2022-23 and Fulham have solely misplaced two consecutive video games at first of a season twice of their Premier League historical past, out of 17 complete campaigns within the competitors. The hosts would even have been inspired to see Andreas Pereira’s deliveries inflicting hazard final week. No Premier League participant created extra probabilities than on MD1 than the six he arrange in opposition to his former membership Man Utd.

Man Metropolis made a easy begin to their title defence away in opposition to Chelsea and our predictive mannequin believes Pep Guardiola’s males are virtually sure to triumph once more after they start their dwelling marketing campaign in opposition to Ipswich City. That is the primary time since 2002 that the 2 groups have met and our mannequin doesn’t forecast any sort of shock consequence.

Metropolis have gained 17 of their final 18 Premier League video games in opposition to promoted sides, drawing the opposite, whereas star striker Erling Haaland, who netted at Chelsea of their opener, has scored at the very least as soon as in opposition to all 22 sides he has confronted within the Premier League, and will probably be keen so as to add one other crew to his checklist.

Haaland excels in August and has 13 targets in 9 appearances through the month, so Metropolis are overwhelmingly backed with a win likelihood of 81.6%, a fee that’s hardly ever if ever seen in top-flight matches, with Ipswich’s hopes method down at simply 7.3%.

Southampton (39.3%) have a robust likelihood of choosing up their first factors of the marketing campaign at dwelling to Nottingham Forest (34.4%), in keeping with the Opta supercomputer. Saints are given the marginal edge going into the sport and, as soon as the draw (26.3%) can also be factored in, they’ve a 65.6% likelihood of gathering at the very least some extent.

However Forest are unlikely to be simple opponents – that they had extra photographs on the right track than another PL aspect on MD1 (8) and it took a late equaliser from Bournemouth to disclaim them victory. Nuno Espírito Santo’s crew additionally gained their final two matches in opposition to promoted sides fairly not too long ago, defeating Sheffield United and Burnley in Could. So it is a robust one to name and, throughout the ten fixtures, it’s the most definitely to finish all sq..

After failing to beat Leicester on Monday, Tottenham will probably be decided to choose up their first win of the marketing campaign at dwelling to an Everton aspect who had been brushed apart by Brighton final week.

Our mannequin thinks Spurs will do exactly that, with Ange Postecoglou’s crew given a win likelihood of 61.8%, with Everton down at 18.4%. Spurs have scored extra Premier League targets in opposition to Everton each total (102) and at dwelling (63) than they’ve in matches with another opponent and Richarlison normally enjoys dealing with his former membership. The Brazil ahead has scored three league targets in opposition to the Toffees, with all of these coming in final season’s two conferences.

Aston Villa could have been barely lucky to win at West Ham, however Jhon Durán’s winner means Unai Emery’s crew are on a excessive earlier than they tackle Arsenal within the Saturday early night conflict. It’s an intriguing battle between two Champions League groups and Villa did the double in opposition to Arsenal final season, accounting for 2 of solely 5 defeats the Gunners suffered within the league.

However Bukayo Saka was on superb type for Arsenal of their opening win in opposition to Wolves, registering a aim and an help. He has now been on the profitable aspect in 99 of his 171 EPL video games for Arsenal, so victory right here will see him turn out to be simply the fourth participant to win 100 within the competitors earlier than turning 23 after Wayne Rooney, Cesc Fàbregas and Phil Foden.

Regardless of Villa’s robust monitor document beneath Unai Emery, it’s Arsenal who’re nicely backed by our mannequin at 51.1%, the second highest mark given to any away crew this weekend. Villa’s likelihood of a house win is simply 24.7% and subsequently a draw could also be consequence for the hosts which helps to proceed their momentum. That’s given a 24.2% likelihood.

Bournemouth will tackle Newcastle in one in every of three matches on Sunday. Eddie Howe’s aspect had been relieved to defeat promoted Southampton regardless of taking part in for a lot of the match with 10 males, whereas the Cherries had an identical feeling after rescuing some extent with a late equaliser at Nottingham Forest.

Newcastle haven’t gained two straight video games to start out a Premier League season since 1997 beneath Kenny Dalglish, however Bournemouth are additionally usually gradual starters. They’re winless of their final eight Premier League video games in August, choosing up simply three attracts and 5 defeats from these matches, scoring solely thrice whereas transport 23.

Newcastle are subsequently given the sting at 43.7%, however that score nonetheless offers hosts Bournemouth (31.1%) a good likelihood of getting one thing out of the sport, with the draw – which has been the end result in 5 of the final 9 matches between the edges – a good risk at 25.2%.

Wolves and Chelsea will each be desperate to document their first factors of the season after they do battle at Molineux, a match which provides Pedro Neto an early likelihood to tackle his former membership.

Despite the fact that Wolves have gained the final three conferences with Chelsea, followers of the Blues will probably be happy to see that at 52.6%, they’re rated because the most definitely crew to document an away win this weekend, with Wolves down at 24.0%. That’s regardless of the switch turmoil unfolding at Stamford Bridge.

Wolves have misplaced six of their 9 Premier League dwelling video games in 2024, with no aspect dropping extra. It’s been a regarding downturn, as that they had solely misplaced 4 of their 20 league video games at Molineux in the entire of 2023.

Chelsea will hope Enzo Fernández can excel in a extra superior place to assist proceed these Wolves dwelling woes. The Argentina midfielder led the crew for photographs (3) and touches within the opposition field (7) in opposition to Man Metropolis. In solely one in every of his earlier 46 top-flight video games had he managed seven touches within the opposition space.

After seeing off Ipswich of their opener, Liverpool (71.4%) will look to make it six factors from two video games with a house match in opposition to Brentford (12.6%), a contest that rounds off the motion on MD2. The Opta supercomputer thinks they’re extremely possible to try this, with solely Man Metropolis seen as extra possible victors throughout all 10 matches.

Slot is hoping to match Graeme Souness, who’s the final Reds boss to win his opening two league video games in cost, having finished so method again in 1991. Key to the brand new supervisor’s hopes will probably be Mohamed Salah, who regarded sharp within the Reds’ opener with a aim and an help at Ipswich.

Brentford are on a good run, having gained 4 of their final seven league matches (D1 L2), extra victories than of their earlier 21 video games mixed (W3 D4 L14). However dealing with Liverpool at Anfield is a formidable process – the Reds have misplaced simply two of their final 61 Premier League dwelling video games, with 46 wins and 13 attracts. They haven’t misplaced at dwelling within the first month of the season since 2015 and something aside from a Liverpool win would characterize as a major shock.


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